FFP and PIND Nigeria Business Risk Brief – May 2023 Photo by Nate Haken FFP has worked with PIND to develop a new product in support of insurance underwriters, investors, and companies seeking to assess and mitigate the risk of damage or abandonment, inability to access funds, and permanent loss of equity in countries around […]
Category Archives: Deconflictions
Why Was Violence Lower in Nigeria’s 2023 Election: Implications for Peacebuilding?
- 14 August 2023
PIND Foundation and FFP Joint Report Photo by Emmanuel Ikwuegbu on Unsplash The 2023 election was unlike any since Nigeria’s Fourth Republic began in 1999. Among the many anomalies and contradictions included high registration and low turnout, a popular third-party candidate, and an electorate less polarized by region, ethnicity, and religion than at any time […]
The Displacement Cycle: Tentative Progress Toward Stability in CAR
- 27 July 2023
BY BENJAMIN WILSON The Central African Republic (CAR) has experienced long-term, widespread insecurity that has contributed to high levels of internal displacement and refugee flows. Although such insecurity intensified in the early-to-mid 2010s, a more stable government has helped the nation improve over the past few years. The Fund for Peace’s Fragile States Index (FSI) […]
A New Balance of Power: The Importance of Managing Partnership in an Increasingly Autocratic World
- 27 July 2023
BY ALEXANDER BERGH Photo by Lucas George Wendt on Unsplash Introduction As the COVID-19 Pandemic swept across the globe, there was a significant decline in democratic governance.[1] Military coups, coup attempts, and takeovers ravaged Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Chad, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Myanmar, and Sao Tome well as escalating conflict between the Sudanese Government and the […]
Cascading Fragility: From Ukraine to the World
- 13 June 2023
BY DANIEL WOODBURN & EMILY SAMPLE Photo by Alice Kotlyarenko on Unsplash In the wake the Russian invasion in February 2022, Ukraine’s 2023 Fragile States Index (FSI) score has risen from 68.6 to 95.9, skyrocketing the country’s ranking from the 92nd most fragile to 18th, claiming the unenviable title of “Most Worsened” for the year. […]
Planning for the Unpredictable
- 09 June 2023
BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Donnie on Unsplash As Yogi Berra wisely said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”[1] Through an international relations lens, it certainly is tough because 1) we do not know when a crisis might strike, and 2) it is surprisingly difficult to know how a country will perform […]
L’Etat, C’est (Pas) Moi: France’s Mystifying Improvement on the Fragile States Index
- 08 June 2023
BY DANIEL WOODBURN Photo by Antoine Schibler on Unsplash On its surface France may appear to be a country in turmoil, even decline, rocked by regular protests and an increasingly polarized political landscape.[1] Popular discourse of increasing state authoritarianism and declining public services would seemingly place it in the company of the United States under […]
State Fragility and the Shadow of Genocide in Nagorno Karabakh and Armenia (the South Caucasus)
- 07 June 2023
BY ALEXIS POSTON Photo by Adam Jones In the early hours of 13 September 2022, Azeri Armed Forces launched a shelling attack against Armenian cities and towns along the Armenian-Azerbaijani borders, largely impacting the towns of Vardenis, Jermuk, Sisian, Goris, and Kapan.[1] Reports following the attacks revealed that Azeri forces were not just targeting Armenian […]
Whiplash in Türkiye: Promise and Fragility
- 07 June 2023
By Ayça Kiriş Photo by Samuele Schirò on Pixabay After 100 years of independence, the Republic of Türkiye is veering toward greater fragility. When the Justice and Development Party (AKP) took power over 20 years ago, Türkiye was emerging as a bulwark of stability in the region. It was consolidating liberal and democratic values, improving […]
Guyana – A Wellspring of Potential
- 06 June 2023
BY MELINDA ELLINGTON Photo by Grant Durr on Unsplash Despite a history of turbulent politics, ethnic divisions, and fractious relationships with neighbors, Guyana has the potential to become one of the biggest success stories of the decade. The discovery of oil fields has flooded the nation with resources that could improve public services, civic participation, and economic […]