The rise of transnational criminal networks, global terrorism, and the threats emanating from fragile states constitute leading threats to global security in the twenty-first century.

For the past decade, FFP has conducted field research and workshops on the linkages between these critical issues in the most at-risk regions of the world. Using a mixed methodological approach, we combine cutting-edge research into the drivers of state fragility with in-depth interviews with international experts and national stakeholders to assess a country or region’s vulnerabilities to a threat convergence scenario. Our field research and risk assessments have included countries in the South Caucasus and Black Sea region; Eastern Europe; the Tri-border area of Latin American; Southeast Asia; and West, East and the Horn of Africa.

In order to not only assess risk, but also formulate viable solutions, a critical component of our work centers on engaging local actors in each region to understand the context in which these threats arise, as well as how networks are formed and exploited.  An understanding of the local context, as well as the existing resiliencies in each location, allows for the formation of regionally appropriate and holistic prevention and mitigation strategies that seek to engage multiple stakeholders. To that end, FFP also works with regional and sub-regional bodies, as well as national governments and international organizations, to better translate and implement international norms and standards at the local level. In utilizing a multifaceted research and engagement strategy, the Transnational Threats program works to prevent a threat convergence scenario by focusing not only on addressing risk, but also on building local capacities to preserve human security.

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