Category Archives: Publications and Reports

Conflict Bulletin: Abia State – Patterns and Trends, 2012-2015

BY NATE HAKEN AND PATRICIA TAFT* Since 2012, Abia has been the most peaceful state in the Niger Delta overall, as measured by fatalities per capita. In the 2015 gubernatorial elections, Okezie Ikpeazu, of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) was elected to replace outgoing Governor Theordore Orji (also PDP) in the second round of voting, […]

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Conflict Briefing: Conflict Prevention in Rivers Following Election Violence

BY THE FUND FOR PEACE AND PARTNERSHIP INITIATIVES IN THE NIGER DELTA The Nigerian Presidential and National Assembly elections of March 2015 were widely praised by international observers as free and fair, with relatively peaceful outcomes across most states. However, among those states with elevated levels of political conflict was Rivers, where tension has cascaded […]

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Violence Affecting Women and Girls Monthly Memo – June 2015

This memo covers the month of June 2015 (data coding and uploading lags by a month) for the focus states of Borno, Yobe, Kano, Kaduna, Plateau, Rivers, Bayelsa, and Delta.

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Conflict Bulletin: Imo State – Patterns and Trends, 2012-2015

BY NATE HAKEN AND PATRICIA TAFT* Imo state has a population of approximately 3.9 million people, according to the 2006 census. The population is predominantly Igbo (98%). The capital city of Owerri is the largest in the state. Imo is made up of 27 Local Government Areas (LGAs). Natural resources include palm oil, mahogany, crude […]

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Violence Affecting Women and Girls Monthly Memo – May 2015

This memo covers the month of May 2015 (data coding and uploading lags by a month) for Borno, Yobe, Kano, Kaduna, Plateau, Rivers, Bayelsa, and Delta.

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Violence Affecting Women and Girls Quarterly Report 4

BY PATRICIA TAFT* The following report summarizes the main findings as detailed in three memos produced during the fourth quarter of data collection and analysis. This quarterly report covers the time period from February through April 2015. *Kendall Lawrence and Hannah Blyth also contributed to this report. Download the full report in PDF format

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Press Release: Fragile States Index 2015 Released

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 2015 Fragile States Index Released: South Sudan most fragile state for second year in a row; Finland remains at best position; Ukraine, Russia, Syria, Libya, and Mali worsen; Cuba, Georgia, Portugal, and Zimbabwe make gains. WASHINGTON, D.C. – As the Fund for Peace (FFP) releases its eleventh annual 2015 Fragile States Index, […]

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Fragile States Index 2015: The Book

BY J. J. MESSNER, NATE HAKEN, PATRICIA TAFT, HANNAH BLYTH, KENDALL LAWRENCE, SEBASTIAN PAVLOU, FELIPE UMAÑA The Fragile States Index, produced by The Fund for Peace, is a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal pressures that all states experience, but also in identifying when those pressures are pushing a state towards the brink […]

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Violence Affecting Women and Girls Monthly Memo – April 2015

This memo covers the month of April 2015 (data coding and uploading lags by a month) for Borno, Yobe, Kano, Kaduna, Plateau, Rivers, Bayelsa, and Delta.

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Growing Insecurity in Rivers: Impacts of Re-Run Elections

BY FUND FOR PEACE AND PARTNERSHIP INITIATIVES IN THE NIGER DELTA (PIND) Elections have been a cyclical driver of conflict risk and violence in Rivers state since 1999. The state was reported to have had the highest number of violent incidents during the 2015 general elections in Nigeria. In the lead-up and aftermath of the […]

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Some scholars claim that conditions for civil violence in the U.S. are the worst since the 19th century. FFP Program Manager Charles Fiertz weighs in with some context @ABCaustralia.

This model forecast the US's current unrest a decade ago. It now says 'civil war'

"Is the US headed for another civil war? In a word, yes."

www.abc.net.au

With mass protests against racial injustice, soaring unemployment, impeachment, concerns of voter disenfranchisement, and 130,000 people dead from COVID-19, can the US be called a failed state? FFP's Charles Fiertz says, “No,” in an interview with @VICE.

Is the U.S. a Failed State?

Indicators are bad, but decline isn’t predetermined.

www.vice.com