Category Archives: Fragile States Index

And Now For Some Good News: Where the World is Getting Better

BY DANIEL GANZ The most fragile — and the most worsened — countries tend to attract the most attention in the Fragile States Index (FSI). However, the reality is that the majority of countries are improving based on the FSI’s trends, and a number of countries have made considerable progress in the past decade based […]

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Cracks in the Foundation: United States and United Kingdom

BY NATE HAKEN Society is more resilient to shocks when social, economic, political and security pressures are manageable. However, an improving economy does not guarantee social and political cohesion. The United States is a case in point. In 2016, unemployment (at 4.9%) was at a 9-year low; GDP per capita (at US$57,500) was at an […]

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“So Far From God, So Close to the United States.” Mexico Most Worsened in 2017

BY GEORGE LEHNER It has been a tough year for Mexico. As Mexico has borne the brunt of combative political rhetoric from north of the border, the country has also weathered economic and political challenges, as well as an uptick of violence. The first weeks of 2017 saw widespread protests throughout Mexico, a sign that […]

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Colombia Enjoys a Peace Dividend After Half-Century of Conflict

BY CHRISTINA MURPHY Colombia captured international headlines and accolades in 2016 when the government signed a peace deal with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). This victory for President Juan Manuel Santos’ government marked the beginning of the end for one of the world’s longest running civil wars. Although the deal was narrowly rejected […]

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Fragile States Index 2017: Factionalization and Group Grievance Fuel Rise in Instability

BY J.J. MESSNER Though South Sudan has returned to top position on the annual Fragile States Index (FSI) for 2017, and Finland continues to maintain its position as the world’s least fragile country, the global tumult of the past year has been borne out in the Index’s trend analysis, as Ethiopia, Mexico, and Turkey recorded […]

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“Could it Happen in France As Well?” A Data Analytics View of the French Elections

BY J.J. MESSNER AND ALEXANDRA KAPITANSKAYA There are probably few French elections in recent times that have captured quite this level of international attention, particularly in the Anglosphere. Certainly, the stakes are high, as two candidates with vastly different views on French identity, French values, and the role of France in the world square off […]

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“To the American People” – Why Foreign Aid and Development Spending is Good for America

BY J.J. MESSNER Mick Mulvaney, the director of the Office of Management and Budget, commented in a March 19 interview on Meet the Press,

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Fragile States Index 2016: The Book

BY J.J. MESSNER, NATE HAKEN ET AL. The Fragile States Index, produced by The Fund for Peace, is a critical tool in highlighting not only the normal pressures that all states experience, but also in identifying when those pressures are pushing a state towards the brink of failure. By highlighting pertinent issues in weak and […]

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Europe’s Refugee Crisis Underscores Global Interconnectedness

BY J.J. MESSNER As the civil war in Syria enters its sixth year, its effects continue to wreak havoc not only on its own war-ravaged population, but also upon countries farther afield. In the 2016 Fragile States Index, Syria was again one of the most worsened countries year-on-year, catapulting them into the list of the […]

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Underlying Concerns Create a Worrying Outlook for Britain Beyond Brexit

BY J.J. MESSNER As the dust settles on the historic Brexit vote and its effects, it is easy to focus on the near term, visible side effects. Even in the unlikely event that Britain manages to negotiate an association deal that is as good as being in the European Union, it will now no longer […]

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📢 The #FragileStatesIndex is ready to launch! Please join us Wednesday, July 13th at 10am ET for analysis and discussion on #fragility, the rise of #authoritarianism, and more. Register now: https://t.co/d92HZMsDcD

Wonderful luncheon with H.E Amb. @MichalMlynar of @SlovakiaUNNY, my great friend & supporter @ASherinian, and other incredible guests to discuss a white paper on “#Faith & #Media: Partners for #Resilience in Civil Society”. Timely dialogue & great recommendations! @fundforpeace