Analysis

Falling Behind the Pack: Brazil Endures A Difficult Year of Self-Inflicted Troubles

BY GEORGE LEHNER Brazil showed a significant decline in the 2017 FSI, becoming the fourth most worsened country since 2016, largely as a result of a devastating recession, continued fallout from widespread political corruption probes, and the impeachment of its President. Overall, Brazil worsened by 2.9 points on its total score compared to the prior […]

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Problems of the Rainbow Nation Viewed Across the Full Spectrum

BY J.J. MESSNER Over the past decade, the Rainbow Nation has also traversed much of the color spectrum on the Fragile States Index (FSI) map. Though our color palette is simply representative of a country’s score – green to blue for the most stable, yellow to deep red for the most fragile – the changing […]

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And Now For Some Good News: Where the World is Getting Better

BY DANIEL GANZ The most fragile — and the most worsened — countries tend to attract the most attention in the Fragile States Index (FSI). However, the reality is that the majority of countries are improving based on the FSI’s trends, and a number of countries have made considerable progress in the past decade based […]

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Cracks in the Foundation: United States and United Kingdom

BY NATE HAKEN Society is more resilient to shocks when social, economic, political and security pressures are manageable. However, an improving economy does not guarantee social and political cohesion. The United States is a case in point. In 2016, unemployment (at 4.9%) was at a 9-year low; GDP per capita (at US$57,500) was at an […]

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“So Far From God, So Close to the United States.” Mexico Most Worsened in 2017

BY GEORGE LEHNER It has been a tough year for Mexico. As Mexico has borne the brunt of combative political rhetoric from north of the border, the country has also weathered economic and political challenges, as well as an uptick of violence. The first weeks of 2017 saw widespread protests throughout Mexico, a sign that […]

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Colombia Enjoys a Peace Dividend After Half-Century of Conflict

BY CHRISTINA MURPHY Colombia captured international headlines and accolades in 2016 when the government signed a peace deal with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). This victory for President Juan Manuel Santos’ government marked the beginning of the end for one of the world’s longest running civil wars. Although the deal was narrowly rejected […]

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Fragile States Index 2017: Factionalization and Group Grievance Fuel Rise in Instability

BY J.J. MESSNER Though South Sudan has returned to top position on the annual Fragile States Index (FSI) for 2017, and Finland continues to maintain its position as the world’s least fragile country, the global tumult of the past year has been borne out in the Index’s trend analysis, as Ethiopia, Mexico, and Turkey recorded […]

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“Could it Happen in France As Well?” A Data Analytics View of the French Elections

BY J.J. MESSNER AND ALEXANDRA KAPITANSKAYA There are probably few French elections in recent times that have captured quite this level of international attention, particularly in the Anglosphere. Certainly, the stakes are high, as two candidates with vastly different views on French identity, French values, and the role of France in the world square off […]

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“To the American People” – Why Foreign Aid and Development Spending is Good for America

BY J.J. MESSNER Mick Mulvaney, the director of the Office of Management and Budget, commented in a March 19 interview on Meet the Press,

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Remembering Nigeria’s Women and Girls on International Women’s Day

BY PATRICIA TAFT AND HANNAH BLYTH As we come together to celebrate International Women’s Day, we are reminded there are still many areas of the world where women and children face violence and insecurity. In Nigeria, sexual abuse and violence perpetrated against women and children remains prevalent in communities throughout the country.

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Despite gains on the #FragileStatesIndex, there are indications that the #Colombia peace process is stumbling. https://t.co/a4tZdMKCqu

"I'll be a better coach and a better mentor" - Okpiaru Efosa, a participant at the CAPABLE 'How to be a Coach and Mentor' training for certified M4P facilitators training held from 13 to 16 August 2018.

There is no alternative to Peace.
With Peace. Development is sure
With Peace..Employment is sure
With Peace..It will no longer be "Thank God it's Friday", but Thank God it is a new day.

Join us @p4privers. 2gether we can make Rivers State Great again.
PEACE.YES!
@P4P_NigerDelta